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Sunday 12 February 2017, 18:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
29% 28% 44%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
43.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 28.5% 3.51
Draw 27.8% 3.59
1. FC Köln 43.7% 2.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.58
Over 1.5 72.8% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.2% 3.68
Over 2.5 46.6% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.1% 3.98
Under 3.5 74.9% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.75
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 56.3% 1.77
SC Freiburg / 1. FC Köln 72.2% 1.39
Draw / 1. FC Köln 71.5% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
10.5
8.1
3.9
1.4
0.4
1
8.0
13.3
9.0
4.3
1.5
0.4
2
4.9
6.9
5.0
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
1.8
2.6
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.