Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:00
RheinEnergieStadion
Full time
55%
25%
19%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
19.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.5% | 7.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln / Draw | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln / Bayer Leverkusen | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
6.0
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
12.0
|
5.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.7
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
1. FC Köln
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
1. FC Köln
Mar 2024
1. FC Köln
0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
1. FC Köln
May 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1. FC Köln
Nov 2022
1. FC Köln
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.