Skip to content
Saturday 17 December 2016, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
22% 24% 54%
Home win
22.1%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
54.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 22.1% 4.53
Draw 23.7% 4.21
1. FC Köln 54.2% 1.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.96
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.22
Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.1% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.5% 2.82
Under 3.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.6% 5.37
Under 4.5 81.4% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.0% 1.72
No 42.0% 2.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 45.8% 2.18
Werder Bremen / 1. FC Köln 76.3% 1.31
Draw / 1. FC Köln 77.9% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
8.6
8.7
5.5
2.6
1.0
1
5.0
11.1
9.8
6.2
2.9
1.1
2
3.2
5.9
5.6
3.5
1.6
0.6
3
1.2
2.2
2.1
1.3
0.6
0.2
4
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.