Sunday 18 December 2016, 18:30
BayArena
Full time
61%
23%
16%
Home win
60.6%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
16.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
4.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
11.0
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.8
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.