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Friday 18 November 2016, 21:30 BayArena Full time
25% 26% 49%
Home win
25.0%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
48.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 25.0% 3.99
Draw 26.3% 3.80
RB Leipzig 48.6% 2.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.25
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.09
Over 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.54
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.5% 7.43
Under 4.5 86.5% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.5% 1.87
No 46.5% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 51.4% 1.95
Bayer Leverkusen / RB Leipzig 73.7% 1.36
Draw / RB Leipzig 75.0% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
10.2
8.7
4.7
1.9
0.6
1
6.7
12.6
9.5
5.1
2.0
0.6
2
4.0
6.4
5.1
2.7
1.1
0.4
3
1.5
2.3
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.