Saturday 5 November 2016, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
58%
24%
18%
Home win
57.8%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
18.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.2% | 6.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / SV Darmstadt 98 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / SV Darmstadt 98 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
5.2
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
11.4
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
6.1
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2024
SV Darmstadt 98
0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1
SV Darmstadt 98
Apr 2017
SV Darmstadt 98
0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.