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Saturday 17 December 2016, 16:30 VELTINS-Arena Full time
58% 24% 18%
Home win
58.3%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
17.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 58.3% 1.72
Draw 23.9% 4.19
SC Freiburg 17.9% 5.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.27
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.30
Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.8% 3.36
Under 3.5 70.2% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.5% 6.88
Under 4.5 85.5% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 / Draw 82.1% 1.22
FC Schalke 04 / SC Freiburg 76.1% 1.31
Draw / SC Freiburg 41.7% 2.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
5.2
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
11.0
11.4
4.9
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.9
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.6
6.0
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Schalke 04 goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.