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Saturday 18 February 2017, 19:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
41% 26% 33%
Home win
41.4%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
32.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 41.4% 2.42
Draw 26.0% 3.85
SC Freiburg 32.6% 3.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.25
Over 1.5 79.3% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.7% 4.84
Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 3.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 4.5 16.9% 5.91
Under 4.5 83.1% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.2% 1.69
No 40.8% 2.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 67.4% 1.48
Hamburger SV / SC Freiburg 74.0% 1.35
Draw / SC Freiburg 58.6% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
6.7
5.0
2.3
0.8
0.2
1
7.8
12.2
7.8
3.5
1.2
0.3
2
6.6
8.9
6.0
2.7
0.9
0.3
3
3.4
4.6
3.1
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.3
1.8
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.