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Saturday 21 April 2018, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
40% 30% 30%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
30.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 39.9% 2.51
Draw 30.0% 3.33
SC Freiburg 30.1% 3.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.96
Over 1.5 66.9% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.1% 3.02
Over 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Under 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 3.5 80.6% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.52
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 69.9% 1.43
Hamburger SV / SC Freiburg 70.0% 1.43
Draw / SC Freiburg 60.1% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
9.9
5.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
12.0
14.0
6.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
7.9
8.1
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.2
3.3
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.