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Saturday 14 April 2018, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
74% 17% 9%
Home win
73.8%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
9.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 73.8% 1.35
Draw 16.9% 5.91
Hamburger SV 9.3% 10.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.91
Over 1.5 83.2% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.8% 5.96
Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.2% 2.62
Over 3.5 39.6% 2.53
Under 3.5 60.4% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.8% 4.59
Under 4.5 78.2% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 90.7% 1.10
1899 Hoffenheim / Hamburger SV 83.1% 1.20
Draw / Hamburger SV 26.2% 3.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
2.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
9.5
8.0
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
12.2
9.2
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.9
7.5
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
6.0
4.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.9
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.