Saturday 3 March 2018, 16:30
Volksparkstadion
Full time
35%
29%
36%
Home win
35.2%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
35.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.4% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 10.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV / Draw | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV / FSV Mainz 05 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
10.0
|
6.6
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
13.8
|
7.9
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.9
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.2
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hamburger SV
Oct 2025
Hamburger SV
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2017
FSV Mainz 05
3-2
Hamburger SV
May 2017
Hamburger SV
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2016
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Hamburger SV
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.