Sunday 7 May 2017, 16:30
Volksparkstadion
Full time
38%
27%
35%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
34.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV / Draw | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV / FSV Mainz 05 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
7.8
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
12.8
|
8.1
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
8.5
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.0
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hamburger SV
Oct 2025
Hamburger SV
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2018
Hamburger SV
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2017
FSV Mainz 05
3-2
Hamburger SV
Dec 2016
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Hamburger SV
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.