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Saturday 29 April 2017, 16:30 Opel Arena Full time
44% 26% 30%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
29.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 43.7% 2.29
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Borussia Mönchengladbach 29.8% 3.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.51
Over 1.5 77.3% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.7% 4.41
Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.3% 2.11
Over 3.5 30.4% 3.28
Under 3.5 69.6% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.0% 6.68
Under 4.5 85.0% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.6% 1.77
No 43.4% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 70.2% 1.43
FSV Mainz 05 / Borussia Mönchengladbach 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 56.3% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
6.9
4.7
2.0
0.6
0.2
1
8.8
12.5
7.3
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
7.4
9.1
5.7
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.8
4.7
2.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.5
1.8
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.