Saturday 8 April 2017, 16:30
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Full time
50%
23%
26%
Home win
50.4%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
26.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.0% | 6.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg / Draw | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| SC Freiburg / FSV Mainz 05 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
4.6
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
10.5
|
6.6
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
9.5
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
6.0
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
SC Freiburg
Nov 2025
SC Freiburg
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
SC Freiburg
Nov 2024
SC Freiburg
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2024
SC Freiburg
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
SC Freiburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.