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Wednesday 5 April 2017, 21:00 Volkswagen Arena Full time
48% 26% 26%
Home win
47.5%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 47.5% 2.10
Draw 26.4% 3.79
SC Freiburg 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.59
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 3.5 71.2% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.21
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.4% 1.84
No 45.6% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 73.9% 1.35
VfL Wolfsburg / SC Freiburg 73.6% 1.36
Draw / SC Freiburg 52.5% 1.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
6.7
4.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
9.9
12.6
6.6
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
8.4
9.4
5.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
4.5
5.0
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.8
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.