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Saturday 18 March 2017, 16:30 WWK Arena Full time
42% 28% 30%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
30.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg 42.4% 2.36
Draw 27.6% 3.62
SC Freiburg 30.0% 3.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.19
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.84
Over 2.5 48.1% 2.08
Under 2.5 51.9% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.80
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.20
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.1% 1.88
No 46.9% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg / Draw 70.0% 1.43
FC Augsburg / SC Freiburg 72.4% 1.38
Draw / SC Freiburg 57.6% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
7.9
5.1
2.0
0.6
0.1
1
9.9
13.2
7.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.6
8.9
5.2
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
3.6
4.2
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Augsburg goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.