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Friday 3 March 2017, 21:30 WWK Arena Full time
23% 28% 49%
Home win
22.9%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
49.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg 22.9% 4.37
Draw 28.0% 3.58
RB Leipzig 49.2% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 10.04
Over 1.5 69.6% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.4% 3.29
Over 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.8% 4.59
Under 3.5 78.2% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.64
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13
No 53.0% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg / Draw 50.8% 1.97
FC Augsburg / RB Leipzig 72.0% 1.39
Draw / RB Leipzig 77.1% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
12.8
9.9
4.8
1.8
0.5
1
7.7
13.2
9.1
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
3.9
5.7
4.2
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.2
1.7
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Augsburg goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.