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Sunday 5 February 2017, 16:30 WWK Arena Full time
50% 27% 22%
Home win
50.3%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg 50.3% 1.99
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Werder Bremen 22.3% 4.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.65
Over 1.5 70.9% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.1% 3.43
Over 2.5 44.2% 2.26
Under 2.5 55.8% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.1% 4.33
Under 3.5 76.9% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.2% 9.83
Under 4.5 89.8% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.0% 2.09
No 52.0% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg / Draw 77.7% 1.29
FC Augsburg / Werder Bremen 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Werder Bremen 49.7% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
7.3
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
12.4
12.9
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.3
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.1
4.7
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Augsburg goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.