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Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:00 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
79% 13% 8%
Home win
79.3%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
7.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 79.3% 1.26
Draw 12.9% 7.74
Werder Bremen 7.8% 12.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.8% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.2% 45.50
Over 1.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.0% 11.06
Over 2.5 75.8% 1.32
Under 2.5 24.2% 4.13
Over 3.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 3.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 4.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 4.5 63.4% 1.58

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.7% 1.73
No 42.3% 2.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 92.2% 1.08
1899 Hoffenheim / Werder Bremen 87.1% 1.15
Draw / Werder Bremen 20.7% 4.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.2
1.4
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
1
5.4
5.6
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
2
8.8
8.1
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
8.9
8.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.0
4
6.8
6.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
4.2
3.8
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.