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Friday 16 December 2016, 21:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
44% 24% 31%
Home win
44.5%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
31.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 44.5% 2.25
Draw 24.4% 4.09
Borussia Dortmund 31.1% 3.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.09
Over 1.5 83.4% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.6% 6.01
Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.2% 2.62
Over 3.5 39.5% 2.53
Under 3.5 60.5% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.8% 4.60
Under 4.5 78.2% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.7% 1.57
No 36.3% 2.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 68.9% 1.45
1899 Hoffenheim / Borussia Dortmund 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 55.6% 1.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
5.3
4.3
2.0
0.7
0.2
1
6.6
11.0
7.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
2
6.3
9.1
6.5
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
3.7
5.3
3.8
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
1.6
2.3
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.