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Sunday 20 November 2016, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
81% 13% 5%
Home win
81.4%
Draw
13.5%
Away win
5.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 81.4% 1.23
Draw 13.5% 7.41
Hamburger SV 5.1% 19.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.39
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.71
Over 2.5 60.8% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 4.5 20.9% 4.78
Under 4.5 79.1% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.59
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 94.9% 1.05
1899 Hoffenheim / Hamburger SV 86.5% 1.16
Draw / Hamburger SV 18.6% 5.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
10.9
6.4
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
14.7
7.8
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.8
6.8
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
8.3
4.4
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
4.4
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.