Skip to content
Saturday 8 April 2017, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
20% 25% 56%
Home win
19.6%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
55.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 19.6% 5.10
Draw 24.7% 4.05
1899 Hoffenheim 55.7% 1.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.79
Over 1.5 76.2% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.8% 4.20
Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 2.5 48.9% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.0% 3.44
Under 3.5 71.0% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.13
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 44.3% 2.26
Hamburger SV / 1899 Hoffenheim 75.3% 1.33
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 80.4% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
10.9
10.2
6.0
2.7
0.9
1
5.6
11.8
9.8
5.8
2.5
0.9
2
3.0
5.3
4.7
2.8
1.2
0.4
3
1.0
1.7
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.