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Saturday 1 April 2017, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
27% 27% 46%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
46.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 27.4% 3.66
Draw 26.6% 3.76
1. FC Köln 46.0% 2.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.47
Over 1.5 75.9% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.1% 4.15
Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Over 3.5 28.6% 3.49
Under 3.5 71.4% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.7% 7.28
Under 4.5 86.3% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.83
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 54.0% 1.85
Hamburger SV / 1. FC Köln 73.4% 1.36
Draw / 1. FC Köln 72.6% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
9.7
8.1
4.2
1.6
0.5
1
7.0
12.7
9.3
4.8
1.9
0.6
2
4.4
6.9
5.3
2.8
1.1
0.3
3
1.7
2.6
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.