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Sunday 5 March 2017, 18:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
Hamburger SV
1–0
HT 0–0
Hertha Berlin
25% 27% 48%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
47.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 25.1% 3.99 — —
Draw 27.3% 3.67 — —
Hertha Berlin 47.6% 2.10 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.63 — —
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37 — —
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69 — —
Over 2.5 46.7% 2.14 — —
Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88 — —
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.97 — —
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34 — —
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.72 — —
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.97 — —
No 49.1% 2.04 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 52.4% 1.91 — —
Hamburger SV / Hertha Berlin 72.7% 1.38 — —
Draw / Hertha Berlin 74.9% 1.33 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
11.2
9.0
4.5
1.7
0.5
1
7.4
13.0
9.3
4.7
1.8
0.5
2
4.2
6.3
4.8
2.4
0.9
0.3
3
1.4
2.2
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hamburger SV
L W W D L
Hertha Berlin
L W L D W

Head to head

May 2022 Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin May 2022 Hertha Berlin 0-1 Hamburger SV Mar 2018 Hamburger SV 1-2 Hertha Berlin Oct 2017 Hertha Berlin 2-1 Hamburger SV Oct 2016 Hertha Berlin 2-0 Hamburger SV

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.