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Saturday 25 February 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
50% 27% 22%
Home win
50.4%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
22.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 50.4% 1.98
Draw 27.4% 3.65
1. FC Köln 22.2% 4.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.53
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.41
Over 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 9.97
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.7% 2.10
No 52.3% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 77.8% 1.29
RB Leipzig / 1. FC Köln 72.6% 1.38
Draw / 1. FC Köln 49.6% 2.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
7.3
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
1
12.5
12.9
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.2
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.1
4.7
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.