Skip to content
Friday 25 August 2017, 21:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
65% 21% 13%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
13.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 65.4% 1.53
Draw 21.3% 4.70
Hamburger SV 13.3% 7.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.69
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.60
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.14
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.26
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.8% 2.05
No 51.2% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 86.7% 1.15
1. FC Köln / Hamburger SV 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Hamburger SV 34.6% 2.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
4.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
11.2
10.1
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.7
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.2
6.6
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
4.2
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.