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Friday 5 May 2017, 21:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
54% 23% 24%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
23.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 53.7% 1.86
Draw 22.6% 4.42
Werder Bremen 23.7% 4.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.79
Over 1.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.1% 6.62
Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 3.5 42.3% 2.36
Under 3.5 57.7% 1.73
Over 4.5 24.0% 4.16
Under 4.5 76.0% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.5% 1.57
No 36.5% 2.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 76.3% 1.31
1. FC Köln / Werder Bremen 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Werder Bremen 46.3% 2.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
4.1
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
6.8
10.1
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
2
7.4
9.6
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
5.0
6.5
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.2
4
2.5
3.3
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
1.0
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.