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Sunday 16 April 2017, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
63% 20% 17%
Home win
63.2%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
16.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 63.2% 1.58
Draw 20.1% 4.97
Hamburger SV 16.7% 5.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.63
Over 1.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.3% 6.97
Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.3% 2.92
Over 3.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 3.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.3% 3.95
Under 4.5 74.7% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.6% 1.65
No 39.4% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 83.3% 1.20
Werder Bremen / Hamburger SV 79.9% 1.25
Draw / Hamburger SV 36.8% 2.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
3.2
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
7.2
9.1
4.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
2
8.8
9.7
5.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
3
6.7
7.4
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
3.8
4.2
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.1
5
1.7
1.9
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.