Tuesday 4 April 2017, 21:00
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
79%
14%
7%
Home win
79.0%
Draw
13.7%
Away win
7.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.7% | 7.27 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 7.2% | 13.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 31.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / Hamburger SV | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
6.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
8.5
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.3
|
8.0
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.2
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Borussia Dortmund
3-2
Hamburger SV
Nov 2025
Hamburger SV
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Feb 2018
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Hamburger SV
Sep 2017
Hamburger SV
0-3
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2016
Hamburger SV
2-5
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.