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Saturday 11 March 2017, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
34% 27% 39%
Home win
34.5%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
38.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 34.5% 2.90
Draw 27.0% 3.71
Borussia Dortmund 38.5% 2.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.05
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.30
Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.1% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.7% 3.37
Under 3.5 70.3% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.5% 6.91
Under 4.5 85.5% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.5% 1.77
No 43.5% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 61.5% 1.63
Hertha Berlin / Borussia Dortmund 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 65.5% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
8.3
6.4
3.0
1.1
0.3
1
7.8
12.8
8.6
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
5.7
8.0
5.7
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
2.5
3.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
0.8
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.