Saturday 18 February 2017, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
71%
18%
10%
Home win
71.2%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
10.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 10.5% | 9.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / VfL Wolfsburg | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / VfL Wolfsburg | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
8.7
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.5
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.3
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
May 2025
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
VfL Wolfsburg
Dec 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia Dortmund
Feb 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.