Skip to content
Tuesday 20 December 2016, 21:00 Signal Iduna Park Full time
69% 20% 11%
Home win
69.0%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
10.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 69.0% 1.45
Draw 20.0% 4.99
FC Augsburg 10.9% 9.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.34
Over 1.5 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.3% 4.49
Over 2.5 53.4% 1.87
Under 2.5 46.6% 2.15
Over 3.5 31.2% 3.21
Under 3.5 68.8% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.5% 6.46
Under 4.5 84.5% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 89.1% 1.12
Borussia Dortmund / FC Augsburg 80.0% 1.25
Draw / FC Augsburg 31.0% 3.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
12.0
9.5
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.2
9.4
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
9.3
6.6
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.