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Saturday 21 January 2017, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
52% 26% 22%
Home win
52.1%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
21.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 52.1% 1.92
Draw 26.3% 3.80
Hamburger SV 21.6% 4.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.93
Over 1.5 73.3% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.7% 3.75
Over 2.5 47.3% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.47
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.9% 2.00
No 50.1% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 78.4% 1.28
VfL Wolfsburg / Hamburger SV 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Hamburger SV 47.9% 2.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
6.6
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
11.7
12.5
5.6
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.5
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.4
5.1
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.2
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.