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Saturday 3 December 2016, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
22% 30% 48%
Home win
21.8%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
47.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 21.8% 4.58
Draw 30.4% 3.29
Hertha Berlin 47.8% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.53
Over 1.5 62.2% 1.61
Under 1.5 37.8% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.4% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.6% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.7% 6.36
Under 3.5 84.3% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.69
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.2% 2.49
No 59.8% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 52.2% 1.92
VfL Wolfsburg / Hertha Berlin 69.6% 1.44
Draw / Hertha Berlin 78.2% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
15.4
10.5
4.5
1.5
0.4
1
9.1
13.5
8.2
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
3.8
5.0
3.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.