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Saturday 9 December 2017, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
38% 30% 33%
Home win
37.8%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
32.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 37.8% 2.64
Draw 29.5% 3.38
VfL Wolfsburg 32.6% 3.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.67
Over 1.5 68.8% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.2% 3.21
Over 2.5 41.7% 2.40
Under 2.5 58.3% 1.71
Over 3.5 21.1% 4.75
Under 3.5 78.9% 1.27
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.17
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.4% 2.06
No 51.6% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 67.4% 1.48
Hamburger SV / VfL Wolfsburg 70.5% 1.42
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 62.2% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
9.9
6.0
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
10.9
13.9
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.2
8.1
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.9
3.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.