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Saturday 4 November 2017, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
33% 32% 35%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
34.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 33.1% 3.02
Draw 32.1% 3.11
VfB Stuttgart 34.7% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.22
Over 1.5 61.2% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.8% 2.58
Over 2.5 33.3% 3.00
Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 3.5 15.0% 6.68
Under 3.5 85.0% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.84
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.40
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 65.3% 1.53
Hamburger SV / VfB Stuttgart 67.9% 1.47
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 66.9% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
12.7
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.3
14.3
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
6.6
6.8
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.2
2.3
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.