Skip to content
Saturday 21 October 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
71% 19% 10%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
10.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 71.3% 1.40
Draw 18.8% 5.33
VfB Stuttgart 10.0% 10.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.09
Over 1.5 79.5% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.5% 4.88
Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 3.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 3.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.3% 5.78
Under 4.5 82.7% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.8% 2.18
No 54.2% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 90.0% 1.11
RB Leipzig / VfB Stuttgart 81.2% 1.23
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 28.7% 3.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
3.3
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
11.4
8.9
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.2
9.3
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
9.7
6.9
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
5.4
3.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.