Saturday 14 October 2017, 19:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
62%
20%
18%
Home win
61.6%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
17.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.5% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / RB Leipzig | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / RB Leipzig | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
3.3
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
9.1
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
7.3
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
4.1
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
RB Leipzig
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Apr 2024
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.