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Saturday 30 September 2017, 16:30 WWK Arena Full time
21% 25% 54%
Home win
21.4%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
53.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg 21.4% 4.67
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Borussia Dortmund 53.7% 1.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.63
Over 1.5 77.3% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.7% 4.41
Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Under 2.5 47.3% 2.12
Over 3.5 30.5% 3.28
Under 3.5 69.5% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.0% 6.66
Under 4.5 85.0% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.9% 1.86
No 46.1% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg / Draw 46.3% 2.16
FC Augsburg / Borussia Dortmund 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 78.6% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
10.2
9.5
5.6
2.4
0.9
1
5.7
11.8
9.8
5.7
2.5
0.9
2
3.3
5.7
5.0
3.0
1.3
0.5
3
1.1
2.0
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.2
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Augsburg goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.