Saturday 26 August 2017, 19:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
68%
19%
13%
Home win
68.0%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
12.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.1% | 5.23 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / Hertha Berlin | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 32.0% | 3.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
3.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
9.0
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.7
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Borussia Dortmund
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Aug 2022
Hertha Berlin
0-1
Borussia Dortmund
May 2022
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Dec 2021
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2021
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
Hertha Berlin
Nov 2020
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.