Saturday 6 May 2017, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
51%
24%
25%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
24.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 19.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / 1899 Hoffenheim | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
4.9
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
10.9
|
6.4
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
6.0
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.8
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Apr 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Feb 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
1-3
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.