Saturday 8 April 2017, 19:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
70%
19%
11%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
10.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 10.9% | 9.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Borussia Dortmund | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
9.0
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
9.5
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.2
|
7.1
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Bayern München
Oct 2025
Bayern München
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2025
Bayern München
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayern München
Mar 2024
Bayern München
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2023
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.