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Saturday 1 April 2017, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
86% 11% 3%
Home win
85.6%
Draw
11.2%
Away win
3.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 85.6% 1.17
Draw 11.2% 8.97
FC Augsburg 3.2% 30.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.15
Over 1.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.3% 5.78
Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.8% 2.58
Over 3.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 3.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.3% 4.70
Under 4.5 78.7% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.9% 3.13
No 68.1% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 96.8% 1.03
Bayern München / FC Augsburg 88.9% 1.13
Draw / FC Augsburg 14.4% 6.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.3
5.1
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
16.0
6.6
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
14.7
6.1
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
10.1
4.2
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
5.6
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.