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Friday 17 February 2017, 21:30 WWK Arena Full time
39% 29% 32%
Home win
38.6%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
32.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg 38.6% 2.59
Draw 29.2% 3.42
Bayer Leverkusen 32.2% 3.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.07
Over 1.5 69.7% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.3% 3.31
Over 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.55
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.3% 2.03
No 50.7% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Augsburg / Draw 67.8% 1.48
FC Augsburg / Bayer Leverkusen 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 61.4% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
9.6
5.8
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
10.8
13.8
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.3
8.2
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.1
3.5
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Augsburg goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.