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Sunday 22 January 2017, 16:30 BayArena Full time
Bayer Leverkusen
3–1
HT 2–1
Hertha Berlin
35% 28% 37%
Home win
35.1%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
37.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 35.1% 2.85 — —
Draw 27.8% 3.59 — —
Hertha Berlin 37.1% 2.70 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.33 — —
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35 — —
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.87 — —
Over 2.5 48.4% 2.07 — —
Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Over 3.5 26.6% 3.76 — —
Under 3.5 73.4% 1.36 — —
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.08 — —
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86 — —
No 46.2% 2.17 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 62.9% 1.59 — —
Bayer Leverkusen / Hertha Berlin 72.2% 1.39 — —
Draw / Hertha Berlin 64.9% 1.54 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
9.0
6.5
2.9
0.9
0.3
1
8.7
13.3
8.3
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
6.1
8.0
5.3
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.6
3.4
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.8
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Bayer Leverkusen
L D W L D
Hertha Berlin
W W L L W

Head to head

Mar 2023 Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin Sep 2022 Hertha Berlin 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen Apr 2022 Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hertha Berlin Nov 2021 Hertha Berlin 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Mar 2021 Hertha Berlin 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen Nov 2020 Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Hertha Berlin

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.