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Friday 10 February 2017, 21:30 Opel Arena Full time
46% 28% 26%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
26.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 46.5% 2.15
Draw 27.5% 3.63
FC Augsburg 26.0% 3.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.48
Over 1.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 2.5 46.4% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.6% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.9% 4.02
Under 3.5 75.1% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.3% 8.86
Under 4.5 88.7% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.96
No 49.1% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 74.0% 1.35
FSV Mainz 05 / FC Augsburg 72.5% 1.38
Draw / FC Augsburg 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
7.6
4.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.1
13.1
6.5
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.8
9.2
4.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
4.3
4.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.