Saturday 17 December 2016, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
65%
20%
15%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
15.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Hamburger SV | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
3.2
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.8
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
7.5
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
4.3
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hamburger SV
Oct 2025
Hamburger SV
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2018
Hamburger SV
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2017
FSV Mainz 05
3-2
Hamburger SV
May 2017
Hamburger SV
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.