Saturday 14 October 2017, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
57%
25%
18%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
18.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.5% | 8.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Hamburger SV | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
5.7
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
11.8
|
4.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.7
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
5.6
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hamburger SV
Oct 2025
Hamburger SV
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2018
Hamburger SV
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
May 2017
Hamburger SV
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2016
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Hamburger SV
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.