Saturday 9 September 2017, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
41%
25%
34%
Home win
40.5%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
34.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Bayer Leverkusen | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
6.0
|
4.9
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
11.4
|
8.0
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.7
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.7
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2025
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
May 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Feb 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.