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Friday 18 August 2017, 21:30 Allianz Arena Full time
84% 11% 5%
Home win
83.6%
Draw
11.1%
Away win
5.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 83.6% 1.20
Draw 11.1% 8.98
Bayer Leverkusen 5.3% 18.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 41.63
Over 1.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 1.5 10.0% 10.03
Over 2.5 74.0% 1.35
Under 2.5 26.0% 3.85
Over 3.5 53.8% 1.86
Under 3.5 46.2% 2.17
Over 4.5 34.3% 2.91
Under 4.5 65.7% 1.52

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 94.7% 1.06
Bayern München / Bayer Leverkusen 88.9% 1.13
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 16.4% 6.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
1.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
6.3
5.1
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
10.3
7.6
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
7.9
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
8.4
6.2
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
5.2
3.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.